Jupyter notebooks for analysis of US federal debt, tax revenues, GDP, budget deficit, evolution of yields on treasury borrowings, treasury yield curves and inflation expectations, unemployment and participation rates, quantitative easing, industrial production, personal consumption and savings, stock market. Using APIs from FRED and Yahoo-Finance.

Replication pipeline for the Tariff Exposure Propagation Index, linking trade, tariff, input-output, freight, SEC, and market data to measure hidden supply-chain vulnerability.

This project focuses on the econometric modeling and forecasting of a French economic time series. Using the Box-Jenkins methodology, we aim to identify, estimate, and validate an optimal $ARIMA(p, d, q)$ model to predict future values of industrial output.