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Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner
Jun 2, 2025
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Dwarkesh Patel
1,477
151
168
Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away
Oct 17, 2025
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Dwarkesh Patel
368
17
66
Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"
Feb 13
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Dwarkesh Patel
524
54
50
Jensen Huang – TPU competition, why we should sell chips to China, & Nvidia’s supply chain moat
Apr 15
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Dwarkesh Patel
503
61
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Podcast
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1:16:08
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?
“One robot now turns into many robots next year, but the number of ballerinas is the same.”
Jun 4
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Dwarkesh Patel
77
12
12
Reiner Pope – Chip design from the bottom up
Working up from basic logic gates to why GPUs, TPUs, FPGAs, and the human brain each look the way they do.
May 22
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Dwarkesh Patel
65
7
6
1:20:30
Eric Jang – Building AlphaGo from scratch
AlphaGo is still the cleanest worked example of the primitives of intelligence: search, learning from experience, and self-play.
May 15
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Dwarkesh Patel
72
4
6
2:37:29
David Reich – Why the Bronze Age was an inflection point in human evolution
"Instead of being quiescent, natural selection is everywhere."
May 8
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Dwarkesh Patel
107
6
10
2:13:19
Reiner Pope – The math behind how LLMs are trained and served
It's shocking how much you can deduce about what the labs are doing from a handful of equations and a blackboard
Apr 29
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Dwarkesh Patel
206
9
14
2:13:50
Blog
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The sample efficiency black hole
"We see these AIs as a galaxy glittering with capabilities, but at their center, invisible to the naked eye, holding all the constellations together, is…
Jun 8
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Dwarkesh Patel
201
26
18
The mistake of conflating intelligence and power
f this is your definition of intelligence is the ability to achieve your goals across a wide variety of domains, then Stalin was the most intelligent…
May 16
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Dwarkesh Patel
389
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Notes on pretraining parallelisms and failed training runs.
Deeply researched interviews
May 16
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Dwarkesh Patel
10
5
1
RLVR might be disproportionately bad at science
the verification loop for theories can be on the order of decades and centuries, and even then we know today as the better theory can often actually…
May 16
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Dwarkesh Patel
20
6
1
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