INTRODUCING: PREDICTION MARKET ELO
Some traders consistently win on Polymarket, bet after bet.
We’ve created prediction market performance ratings (Elo) on Arkham Intel to help you find them. Here’s how it works:
He’s down almost $4 MILLION longing Semiconductors.
Trader “asssdfc” bought $10M of Marvell at the top, now down $3.8M. He is down >$9M across his entire account since his PnL peak 1 month ago, longing other big names like SK Hynix, Micron and Sandisk.
Will he make it back?
Gold has broken below $4,000 per ounce.
Antalpha has now given back over $50M of their PnL on Gold since buying it one year ago.
They currently hold $138.77M of Gold - at their peak in January this year they held $329.86M. They have since sold off an estimated $142.28M of their
HE IS SHORT ALMOST $1 MILLION OF CASHCAT
Robinhood Chain’s leading meme CASHCAT is now below $100M Market Cap. Trader 0xc36 is short $850K CASHCAT and is up $180K so far.
Will he close his shorts in profit, or will CASHCAT bounce back?
Who owns the most Bitcoin?
From Satoshi Nakamoto to exchanges, ETFs, governments, treasury companies and whales, our research team breaks down the largest BTC holders and shows how to track them on-chain with Arkham.
Check out the full guide below.
HE LOST $1.5 MILLION ON ENGLAND
The largest bettor on England’s game with Argentina last night was “englandsaveme”, who bet $1.5 Million on England advancing to the World Cup Finals.
Argentina’s Fernández scored with 5 minutes to spare and Martínez secured the win in 2 minutes
HE IS UP $4 MILLION BETTING ON ARGENTINA
“gud.hl” bet $1M on Argentina winning the entire World Cup. After last night’s win against England, he’s up $3.9M in total.
gud.hl stands to win over $12 MILLION if Argentina win the final. But will he cash his bet now, or let it ride?
ALERT: The US Government has just moved another $9M ETH seized from FTX/Alameda.
The US Government just deposited $9.29M ETH to Coinbase Prime.
Will they be selling this, or returning it to creditors?
ARGENTINA VS ENGLAND
These two traders are going heads-up on the next World Cup match. “123abc” stands to win $920K if Argentina beats England tonight. “ThisAgain” will win $600K if England beat Argentina.
Who will win?
THE US GOVERNMENT IS MOVING SBF’S MEMECOINS
The US Government just moved $250K of SHIB seized from FTX and Alameda.
This SHIB will be held by the US Government and presumably used to repay creditors in the FTX case.
CASHCAT is down almost 50% since it was listed on Hyperliquid.
This trader with a $10M portfolio is up $140K since shorting the top and has also collected $10K in funding.
Will CASHCAT come back? Or sink to zero?
